Monday, June 20, 2011

Why Justin Verlander will win the AL Cy Young

With Adrian Gonzalez killing it in Boston (told you so), Miguel Cabrera will probably be on the outside looking in when the MVP is announced. Granted, it's only June but these things can be predicted this early. But Verlander is absolutely killing it in 2011.  Here is a chart of the important pitching categories:

Category
Value
AL Rank
ML Rank
Wins
9
T1
T1
ERA
2.54
4
7
WHIP
0.85
1
1
K
110
1
3
CG
4
T1
T1
QS
14
1
1
QS%
0.88%
2*
T2*
K/9
8.93
7
22
K/BB
4.23
4
7
BAA
1.81
2
2

Yeah.

The asterisked values for Quality Start Percentage are because the leader has only 1 start on the year. You will also notice the severe drop-off in K/9. Welcome to the advantages of pitching in the National League. His number 7 ranking isn’t great, but he’s top-5 everywhere else.
But as we all know, it isn’t all about the stats. Also in JV’s favor are:
*       His No-Hitter
*       His recent track record of success, dating back to 2006
*       Being the “Ace” on a team in playoff contention
*       His closest competitors are CC Sabathia and Jon Lester
*       CC isn’t a real name
*       Jon Lester rhymes with molester
*       Shit. The stats above were from last night.

So, as you can see, I have made a Perry Mason-esque argument for JV to win. This means he will need Tommy John surgery in August.

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